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UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Regular Season - 30 ·Monday, June 1, 2026, 10:00

UCSA

PPG 1.21 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

Nyva Ternopil

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.8%0-114.9%0-26.6%0-32.0%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.0%1-113.4%1-25.9%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.7%2-16.0%2-22.7%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.0%3-11.8%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.7% 44.4% 2.25 -26.4%

Draw 30.8% 34.5% 2.90 -10.7%

Away win 36.5% 33.3% 3.00 +9.5%

Over 2.5 36.0% 44.4% 2.25 -19.0%

Over 3.5 22.5% 25.3% 3.95 -6.7%

BTTS 47.2% 52.4% 1.91 -9.8%

Home O1.5 22.6% 39.8% 2.51 -26.0%

Away O1.5 22.4% 33.6% 2.98 -20.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.2%

D 31% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.8%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 1–0 15.0%

#4 0–1 14.9%

#5 2–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

UCSA0.9

Nyva Ternopil0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.5%

Form & verdict PPG

UCSA · PPG 1.21

NYVA TERNOPIL · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.21), Away AVERAGE (1.21)

Win probability 1X2

UCSA (H) 32.7%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -26.4%

Draw 30.8%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -10.7%

Nyva Ternopil (A) 36.5%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +9.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

UCSA face Nyva Ternopil in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Monday, June 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives UCSA a 33% chance, the draw 31% and Nyva Ternopil 37%, so Nyva Ternopil are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for UCSA and 0.9 for Nyva Ternopil (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, UCSA are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 1.21 for Nyva Ternopil. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +9.5%. This match finished 3-0.

UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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