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P. Horodenka vs Prykarpattia Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Regular Season - 30 ·Monday, June 1, 2026, 10:00

P. Horodenka

PPG 1.36 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

Prykarpattia

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.9%0-112.6%0-26.2%0-32.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.8%1-113.5%1-26.6%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.4%2-17.2%2-23.5%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.6%3-12.6%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.3% 44.4% 2.25 -13.8%

Draw 34.3% 32.3% 3.10 +6.3%

Away win 27.5% 34.7% 2.88 -12.5%

Over 2.5 34.0% 50.0% 2.00 -32.0%

Over 3.5 19.5% 30.5% 3.28 -21.6%

BTTS 47.2% 57.8% 1.73 -18.3%

Home O1.5 29.0% 43.5% 2.30 -20.0%

Away O1.5 25.7% 38.3% 2.61 -19.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.2%

H 38% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.9%

#3 1–0 13.8%

#4 0–1 12.6%

#5 2–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

P. Horodenka1.1

Prykarpattia1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.0% · O3.5 PROB 19.5%

Form & verdict PPG

P. HORODENKA · PPG 1.36

PRYKARPATTIA · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

P. Horodenka (H) 38.3%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -13.8%

Draw 34.3%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +6.3%

Prykarpattia (A) 27.5%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -12.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

P. Horodenka face Prykarpattia in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Monday, June 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives P. Horodenka a 38% chance, the draw 34% and Prykarpattia 28%, so P. Horodenka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for P. Horodenka and 1.0 for Prykarpattia (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, P. Horodenka are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.29 for Prykarpattia. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +6.3%. This match finished 0-3.

P. Horodenka vs Prykarpattia Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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