Today / Ukraine - Persha Liga / Metal Kharkiv vs Probiy Horodenka

Metal Kharkiv vs Probiy Horodenka Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Regular Season - 2 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 10:00

Metal Kharkiv

PPG 1.39 · HOME

UPCOMING

Probiy Horodenka

PPG 1.26 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.22 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-18.8%0-25.3%0-32.1%0-4+0.8%1 1-010.4%1-112.5%1-27.4%1-33.0%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.4%2-18.8%2-25.2%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.5%3-14.1%3-22.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.0%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.7% — — —

Draw 26.2% — — —

Away win 28.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 31.2% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -19.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.4%

H 46% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–0 7.4%

#3 2–1 8.8%

#4 1–0 10.4%

#5 1–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Metal Kharkiv1.4

Probiy Horodenka1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 31.2%

Form & verdict PPG

METAL KHARKIV · PPG 1.39

PROBIY HORODENKA · PPG 1.26

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.22 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Metal Kharkiv (H) 45.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Probiy Horodenka (A) 28.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Metal Kharkiv face Probiy Horodenka in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Metal Kharkiv a 46% chance, the draw 26% and Probiy Horodenka 28%, so Metal Kharkiv are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Metal Kharkiv and 1.2 for Probiy Horodenka (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Metal Kharkiv are averaging 1.39 points per game versus 1.26 for Probiy Horodenka.

Metal Kharkiv vs Probiy Horodenka Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ukraine - Persha Liga Predictions