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Ukraine - Persha Liga logo Ukraine flag Ukraine - Persha Liga Regular Season - 30 Stadion Chornomorets· Odesa Monday, June 1, 2026 10:00
Chornomorets logo Chornomorets PPG 2.36
1-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
M. Kharkiv logo M. Kharkiv PPG 1.21
Away· +50.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.3%
Odds: 1.30 EV: -32.0%
Draw 27.1%
Odds: 4.33 EV: +10.4%
Away 20.6%
Odds: 8.90 EV: +50.0%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.2% Odds: 1.83 -20.9%
Over 3.5 22.5% Odds: 2.97 -19.9%
BTTS 46.7% Odds: 2.20 +2.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-0
4th 1-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Chornomorets
1.44
M. Kharkiv
0.55

Model Suggestion

Home -32.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -32.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+50.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 49%
BTTS/No 59%
Score Hit 53%
ROI 5.2%
Bet Hit 80% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.36) vs P(Home)=52.3%

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