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Inhulets vs Livyi Bereh Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Regular Season - 30 ·Monday, June 1, 2026, 10:00

Inhulets

PPG 1.64 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

Livyi Bereh

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.9%0-114.3%0-28.0%0-32.9%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.1%1-113.4%1-27.5%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-05.7%2-16.3%2-23.5%2-31.3%2-4+0.5%3 3-01.8%3-12.0%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.7% 16.7% 6.00 +46.9%

Draw 29.7% 27.4% 3.65 +5.0%

Away win 40.6% 67.6% 1.48 -39.9%

Over 2.5 44.4% 54.1% 1.85 -17.9%

Over 3.5 25.1% 31.8% 3.14 -12.7%

BTTS 47.2% 51.3% 1.95 -8.0%

Home O1.5 24.1% 19.8% 5.05 +13.0%

Away O1.5 30.5% 61.0% 1.64 -50.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob47.2%

A 41% / xG 0.9-1.1 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 12.9%

#3 0–1 14.3%

#4 1–0 12.1%

#5 0–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inhulets0.9

Livyi Bereh1.1

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.4% · O3.5 PROB 25.1%

Form & verdict PPG

INHULETS · PPG 1.64

LIVYI BEREH · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.64), Away GOOD (1.71)

Win probability 1X2

Inhulets (H) 29.7%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +46.9%

Draw 29.7%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +5.0%

Livyi Bereh (A) 40.6%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV -39.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Inhulets face Livyi Bereh in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Monday, June 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inhulets a 30% chance, the draw 30% and Livyi Bereh 41%, so Livyi Bereh are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Inhulets and 1.1 for Livyi Bereh (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inhulets are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.71 for Livyi Bereh. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +46.9%. This match finished 1-3.

Inhulets vs Livyi Bereh Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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