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Inhulets vs Nyva Ternopil Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 11:00

Inhulets

PPG 1.77 · HOME

UPCOMING

Nyva Ternopil

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.6%0-110.6%0-24.5%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.5%1-113.0%1-25.5%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.5%2-18.0%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.9%3-13.3%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.0% 39.2% 2.55 +14.8%

Draw 31.2% 29.9% 3.35 +4.5%

Away win 23.8% 38.5% 2.60 -22.9%

Over 2.5 41.8% — — —

Over 3.5 21.1% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 32.8% — — —

Away O1.5 21.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -14.1%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.7%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 12.6%

#3 1–0 15.5%

#4 2–0 9.5%

#5 0–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inhulets1.2

Nyva Ternopil0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.8% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

INHULETS · PPG 1.77

NYVA TERNOPIL · PPG 1.07

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.39, combined xG 2.07 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Inhulets (H) 45.0%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +14.8%

Draw 31.2%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +4.5%

Nyva Ternopil (A) 23.8%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -22.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Inhulets face Nyva Ternopil in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inhulets a 45% chance, the draw 31% and Nyva Ternopil 24%, so Inhulets are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Inhulets and 0.8 for Nyva Ternopil (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inhulets are averaging 1.77 points per game versus 1.07 for Nyva Ternopil.

Inhulets vs Nyva Ternopil Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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