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Probiy Horodenka vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Matchday 5 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 10:00

Probiy Horodenka

PPG 1.25 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDLL

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Viktoriya Mykolaivka

PPG 1.64 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.4 puts the goal expectation near the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-112.4%0-28.5%0-33.8%0-4+1.8%1 1-09.4%1-112.8%1-28.7%1-34.0%1-4+1.8%2 2-04.9%2-16.6%2-24.5%2-32.0%2-4+0.9%3 3-01.7%3-12.3%3-21.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.1% — — —

Draw 26.0% — — —

Away win 45.9% — — —

Over 2.5 50.5% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 30.9% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 61 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -14.1%

Bet Hit 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–1 12.4%

#3 1–2 8.7%

#4 0–0 9.1%

#5 0–2 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Probiy Horodenka1.0

Viktoriya Mykolaivka1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

PROBIY HORODENKA · PPG 1.25

VIKTORIYA MYKOLAIVKA · PPG 1.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.33, combined xG 2.39 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Probiy Horodenka (H) 28.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Viktoriya Mykolaivka (A) 45.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Probiy Horodenka face Viktoriya Mykolaivka in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Probiy Horodenka a 28% chance, the draw 26% and Viktoriya Mykolaivka 46%, so Viktoriya Mykolaivka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Probiy Horodenka and 1.4 for Viktoriya Mykolaivka (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Probiy Horodenka are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.64 for Viktoriya Mykolaivka. This match finished 0-3.

Probiy Horodenka vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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