Leagues / THAILAND / Thai League 1
Thai League 1
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 32 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
59.4%
1X2
19/32
46.9%
O/U 2.5
15/32
59.4%
BTTS
19/32
50.0%
Exact score
16/32
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
28
Settled
57.1%
Hit rate
16/28
1.66
Avg odds
-7.4%
ROI
-2.1u
Picks by market
BTTS · N=16 56.2% HIT · AVG 1.64 · -9.3% ROI
HOME WIN · N=7 57.1% HIT · AVG 1.71 · -5.3% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=3 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.60 · +60.0% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=2 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.69 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
2
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
7
Bets
57%
Hit
-14.3%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
4
Bets
50%
Hit
-18.8%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
15
Bets
67%
Hit
+11.3%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 13 PICKS · 7 HIT · 6 MISS
10 MAY Ayutthaya Utd vs Port FC Away -10% 1–4 HIT10 MAY Sukhothai vs Muang Thong Utd — NO PICK 3–0 —10 MAY Rayong vs Bangkok Utd BTTS -15% 1–1 HIT10 MAY Pathum Utd vs Prachuap BTTS -16% 3–0 MISS10 MAY Kanchanaburi vs Ratchaburi Over 2.5 -9% 0–1 MISS10 MAY Chonburi vs N. Ratchasima Home -6% 2–1 HIT10 MAY Chiangrai Utd vs Uthai Thani BTTS -16% 1–0 MISS10 MAY Buriram Utd vs Lamphun Warrior Home -12% 1–1 MISS3 MAY Prachuap vs Uthai Thani BTTS -4% 2–0 MISS3 MAY Ratchaburi vs Rayong BTTS -5% 6–1 HIT3 MAY Lamphun Warrior vs Chiangrai Utd BTTS +9% 0–0 MISS2 MAY N. Ratchasima vs Sukhothai — NO PICK 1–0 —2 MAY Bangkok Utd vs Ayutthaya Utd BTTS -13% 4–1 HIT2 MAY Kanchanaburi vs Chonburi BTTS -8% 2–2 HIT2 MAY Port FC vs Buriram Utd BTTS -7% 3–1 HIT