Lamphun Warrior vs Chiangrai Utd Prediction— Thailand - Thai League 1

Thailand - Thai League 1 Regular Season - 29 700th Anniversary Stadium· Chiang Mai Sunday, May 3, 2026 12:00

Lamphun Warrior PPG 1.07

0-0 HIT CS4

Chiangrai Utd PPG 1.07

Away· +93.2% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Lamphun Warrior face Chiangrai Utd in Thailand - Thai League 1 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lamphun Warrior a 37% chance, the draw 29% and Chiangrai Utd 35%, so Lamphun Warrior are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Lamphun Warrior and 1.4 for Chiangrai Utd (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lamphun Warrior are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.07 for Chiangrai Utd. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +93.2%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.8%

Odds: 1.55 EV: -43.0%

Draw 28.7%

Odds: 3.60 EV: +3.3%

Away 34.5%

Odds: 5.60 EV: +93.2%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.5% Odds: 1.93 +3.3%

Over 3.5 31.2% Odds: 3.25 +1.4%

BTTS 58.9% Odds: 1.85 +9.0%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✔

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Lamphun Warrior

1.43

Chiangrai Utd

1.38

Model SuggestionBTTS +9.0% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Away(+93.2%)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away AVERAGE (1.07)