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Thailand - Thai League 1 Sunday, May 3, 2026 11:30 
Ratchaburi PPG 1.79 
Rayong PPG 0.71
Thailand - Thai League 1 Sunday, May 3, 2026 11:30 Ratchaburi PPG 1.796-1 MISS
Rayong PPG 0.71Away· +20.4% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 55.1% Odds: 1.62 -10.7%
Over 3.5 32.7% Odds: 2.50 -18.3%
BTTS 57.1% Odds: 1.67 -4.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Ratchaburi 1.79
Rayong 1.10
Model Suggestion
BTTS -4.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+20.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+20.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 32 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 59%
O2.5/Under 47%
BTTS/No 59%
Score Hit 50%
ROI -38.1%
Bet Hit 38% (8 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 80%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.79) vs P(Home)=52.0%