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Thailand - Thai League 1 logo Thailand flag Thailand - Thai League 1 Regular Season - 30 Rayong Provincial Stadium· Rayong Sunday, May 10, 2026 11:00
Rayong logo Rayong PPG 1.86
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Bangkok Utd logo Bangkok Utd PPG 1.36
Home· +36.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.8%
Odds: 3.70 EV: +36.2%
Draw 27.2%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -1.3%
Away 36.0%
Odds: 1.80 EV: -35.2%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.9% Odds: 1.65 -21.0%
Over 3.5 25.6% Odds: 2.60 -20.1%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.55 -15.4%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-2
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Rayong
1.25
Bangkok Utd
1.31

Model Suggestion

BTTS -15.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+36.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.86) > Away AVERAGE (1.36)

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