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Thailand - Thai League 1
Regular Season - 30
Rayong Provincial Stadium· Rayong
Sunday, May 10, 2026
11:00
Rayong
PPG 1.86
1-1
HIT MostLikelyScore
Bangkok Utd
PPG 1.36
Home· +36.2%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
36.8%
Odds: 3.70
EV: +36.2%
Draw
27.2%
Odds: 3.60
EV: -1.3%
Away
36.0%
Odds: 1.80
EV: -35.2%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
47.9%
Odds: 1.65
-21.0%
Over 3.5
25.6%
Odds: 2.60
-20.1%
BTTS
54.6%
Odds: 1.55
-15.4%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✔
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-2
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Rayong
1.25
Bangkok Utd
1.31
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-15.4%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Home (+36.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.86) > Away AVERAGE (1.36)