Leagues / SWEDEN / Ettan - Norra
Ettan - Norra
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
Upcoming Ettan - Norra predictions
DateMatchPickProbOddsEV
4 SEPT17:30 Assyriska FF vs Stocksund Over 2.5 74% 1.36 +1%// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 96 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
49.0%
1X2
47/96
59.4%
O/U 2.5
57/96
54.2%
BTTS
52/96
33.3%
Exact score
32/96
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
30
Settled
53.3%
Hit rate
16/30
1.72
Avg odds
-9.4%
ROI
-2.8u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=9 33.3% HIT · AVG 1.55 · -49.7% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=9 44.4% HIT · AVG 1.87 · -20.9% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=9 77.8% HIT · AVG 1.74 · +28.8% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.54 · -12.5% ROI
HOME WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 2.20 · +120.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
10
Bets
70%
Hit
+24.8%
ROI
✓ Solid
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+65.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
13
Bets
46%
Hit
-28.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
6
Bets
33%
Hit
-38.3%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 15 PICKS · 9 HIT · 6 MISS
31 AUG Hammarby Talang vs Karlberg HO1.5 0–0 MISS30 AUG Enköping vs Stockholm Internazionale Over 2.5 -2% 0–3 HIT30 AUG FBK Karlstad vs Piteå BTTS -8% 4–3 HIT30 AUG Umeå FC vs Vasalund BTTS 3–2 HIT29 AUG AFC Eskilstuna vs Sollentuna BTTS -19% 2–1 HIT29 AUG Järfälla vs Assyriska FF Over 2.5 -9% 0–2 MISS29 AUG Gefle IF vs IF Karlstad Away +13% 2–2 MISS29 AUG Stocksund vs Arlanda Over 2.5 +4% 2–3 HIT23 AUG Vasalund vs Stocksund Over 2.5 -9% 4–3 HIT23 AUG Karlberg vs AFC Eskilstuna Over 2.5 -14% 0–3 HIT23 AUG Umeå FC vs Enköping BTTS -9% 0–0 MISS23 AUG Arlanda vs FBK Karlstad BTTS -21% 5–1 HIT23 AUG Hammarby Talang vs Piteå Home -19% 1–1 MISS23 AUG Assyriska FF vs Gefle IF Over 2.5 +11% 1–2 HIT22 AUG Sollentuna vs IF Karlstad Away +10% 2–1 MISS