| Grade | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| F | 10 | 40.0% | −2690.0% |
| Market | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | 4 | 50.0% | −2350.0% |
| Home | 3 | 33.3% | −2667.0% |
| Away | 3 | 33.3% | −3167.0% |
| Verdict | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @39% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Over2.5 @13% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @14% | 1 | 100.0% | +12000.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity | Best EV: Away @69% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity | Best EV: Away @18% | 1 | 100.0% | +10500.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Home @25% | 1 | 100.0% | +5300.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity | Best EV: Away @71% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @10% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity | Best EV: Away @47% | 1 | 100.0% | +5300.0% |
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Result | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jun | AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlberg | BTTS | -21% EV | 3-2 | HIT |
| 3 Jun | Vasalund vs Jarfalla | Over 2.5 | -7% EV | 3-1 | HIT |
| 2 Jun | Assyriska vs Enkoping | Over 2.5 | 0% EV | 4-2 | HIT |
| 1 Jun | Arlanda vs Gefle | Home | 10% EV | 2-3 | MISS |
| 31 May | Pitea vs Stockholm Inter | Over 2.5 | 1% EV | 2-2 | HIT |
| 31 May | Umea vs Stocksund | Over 2.5 | -11% EV | 2-2 | HIT |
| 31 May | Karlberg vs FBK Karlstad | Away | 71% EV | 1-1 | MISS |
| 30 May | Hammarby Talang vs AFC Eskilstuna | Over 2.5 | -5% EV | 1-2 | HIT |
| 30 May | Karlstad vs Sollentuna | Home | -20% EV | 0-0 | MISS |
| 24 May | Umea vs Karlstad | Away | 18% EV | 0-2 | HIT |
| 24 May | Sollentuna vs Pitea | — | — | 2-2 | — |
| 24 May | AFC Eskilstuna vs Vasalund | Over 2.5 | -9% EV | 0-3 | HIT |
| 23 May | Enkoping vs Hammarby Talang | Over 2.5 | 5% EV | 0-1 | MISS |
| 23 May | Jarfalla vs Gefle | BTTS | -18% EV | 4-0 | MISS |
| 23 May | FBK Karlstad vs Arlanda | — | — | 0-0 | — |
| 23 May | Stocksund vs Assyriska | Over 2.5 | -0% EV | 3-3 | HIT |
| 23 May | Stockholm Inter vs Karlberg | Over 2.5 | -8% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 18 May | AFC Eskilstuna vs Arlanda | Away | 69% EV | 0-0 | MISS |
| 17 May | FBK Karlstad vs Umea | Over 2.5 | -2% EV | 1-1 | MISS |
| 17 May | Gefle vs Assyriska | Over 2.5 | 13% EV | 0-0 | MISS |
| 17 May | Karlstad vs Vasalund | Home | 14% EV | 5-0 | HIT |
| 17 May | Enkoping vs Sollentuna | BTTS | -21% EV | 1-0 | MISS |
| 17 May | Stocksund vs Pitea | Over 2.5 | -4% EV | 2-3 | HIT |
| 16 May | Karlberg vs Jarfalla | Over 2.5 | -8% EV | 1-3 | HIT |
| 16 May | Hammarby Talang vs Stockholm Inter | BTTS | -4% EV | 3-1 | HIT |