Leagues / SWEDEN / Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Division 2 - Södra Svealand
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 28 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
64.3%
1X2
18/28
60.7%
O/U 2.5
17/28
57.1%
BTTS
16/28
28.6%
Exact score
8/28
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
25
Settled
64.0%
Hit rate
16/25
1.45
Avg odds
-7.4%
ROI
-1.8u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=13 69.2% HIT · AVG 1.41 · -2.4% ROI
BTTS · N=6 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.43 · -4.7% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=3 33.3% HIT · AVG 1.38 · -60.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.85 · +85.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.73 · -100.0% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.70 · +70.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
5
Bets
60%
Hit
-7.2%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
3
Bets
33%
Hit
-43.3%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
17
Bets
71%
Hit
-1.1%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
June 2026 // 7 PICKS · 6 HIT · 1 MISS
7 JUN Karlslund vs Sleipner BTTS -22% 1–3 HIT7 JUN Orebro S. vs Smedby BTTS -21% 2–1 HIT6 JUN Nacka Iliria vs Haninge Over 2.5 -8% 1–5 HIT6 JUN Nykoping vs Fittja IF HO1.5 0–2 MISS6 JUN Ragsved vs Lindo FF Over 2.5 -9% 4–2 HIT6 JUN Farsta vs Forward Over 2.5 -7% 2–1 HIT6 JUN Eker Orebro vs Syrianska Over 2.5 3–2 HITMay 2026 // 7 PICKS · 5 HIT · 2 MISS
31 MAY Haninge vs Eker Orebro HO1.5 3–1 HIT31 MAY Syrianska vs Karlslund BTTS 3–2 HIT31 MAY Sleipner vs Orebro S. BTTS -22% 1–0 MISS30 MAY Smedby vs Farsta HO1.5 1–1 MISS30 MAY Forward vs Ragsved BTTS -18% 4–3 HIT30 MAY Fittja IF vs Lindo FF Over 2.5 -8% 3–0 HIT29 MAY Nacka Iliria vs Nykoping AO1.5 0–2 HIT24 MAY Karlslund vs Nacka Iliria — NO PICK 2–1 —