Leagues / SWEDEN / Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Division 2 - Södra Svealand
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
Upcoming Division 2 - Södra Svealand predictions
DateMatchPickProbOddsEV
4 SEPT18:00 Rågsved vs Haninge Over 2.5 73% 1.28 -7%// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 63 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
57.1%
1X2
36/63
60.3%
O/U 2.5
38/63
55.6%
BTTS
35/63
30.2%
Exact score
19/63
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
14
Settled
50.0%
Hit rate
7/14
1.55
Avg odds
-23.4%
ROI
-3.3u
Picks by market
HOME O1.5 · N=8 37.5% HIT · AVG 1.49 · -48.6% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.50 · +2.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.85 · +85.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.73 · -100.0% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.70 · +70.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
8
Bets
50%
Hit
-25.5%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
5
Bets
60%
Hit
-4.8%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
1
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 15 PICKS · 8 HIT · 7 MISS
30 AUG Karlslund vs Syrianska FC HO1.5 3–1 HIT30 AUG Haninge vs Lindo FF Over 2.5 6–1 HIT29 AUG Nyköping vs Rågsved HO1.5 1–3 MISS29 AUG Sleipner vs Eker Örebro HO1.5 7–1 HIT29 AUG Smedby vs Forward Over 2.5 -17% 3–1 HIT29 AUG Fittja vs Örebro Syrianska HO1.5 0–1 MISS28 AUG Farsta vs Nacka Iliria HO1.5 4–1 HIT23 AUG Eker Örebro vs Fittja Over 2.5 -14% 0–2 MISS23 AUG Örebro Syrianska vs Farsta BTTS -32% 0–2 MISS22 AUG Haninge vs Nyköping Over 2.5 -19% 2–2 HIT22 AUG Forward vs Nacka Iliria HO1.5 0–1 MISS22 AUG Lindo FF vs Karlslund Over 2.5 -12% 0–1 MISS22 AUG Rågsved vs Sleipner Over 2.5 -4% 0–4 HIT22 AUG Syrianska FC vs Smedby Over 2.5 +3% 2–2 HIT16 AUG Nacka Iliria vs Örebro Syrianska BTTS -23% 1–0 MISS