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Karlslund vs Syrianska FC Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand · Matchday 19 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 11:00

Karlslund

PPG 1.44 · HOME

LAST 5

LDWWW

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Syrianska FC

PPG 0.44 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLDL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.16 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-14.3%0-22.1%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.4%1-19.2%1-24.6%1-31.5%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.0%2-19.9%2-24.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.2%3-17.1%3-23.5%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-06.3%4+-16.3%4+-23.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.9% — — —

Draw 21.8% — — —

Away win 21.3% — — —

Over 2.5 60.1% — — —

Over 3.5 37.5% — — —

BTTS 54.3% — — —

Home O1.5 60.9% — — —

Away O1.5 29.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 30%

ROI -23.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 2–0 10.0%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 9.4%

#5 3–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Karlslund2.1

Syrianska FC1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 37.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KARLSLUND · PPG 1.44

SYRIANSKA FC · PPG 0.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.16 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Karlslund (H) 56.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Syrianska FC (A) 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Karlslund face Syrianska FC in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karlslund a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Syrianska FC 21%, so Karlslund are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Karlslund and 1.0 for Syrianska FC (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karlslund are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.44 for Syrianska FC. This match finished 3-1.

Karlslund vs Syrianska FC Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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