Leagues / SWEDEN / Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Division 2 - Norra Svealand
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 28 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
50.0%
1X2
14/28
53.6%
O/U 2.5
15/28
57.1%
BTTS
16/28
53.6%
Exact score
15/28
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
27
Settled
51.9%
Hit rate
14/27
1.52
Avg odds
-22.7%
ROI
-6.1u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=11 36.4% HIT · AVG 1.46 · -47.9% ROI
BTTS · N=5 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.42 · -13.6% ROI
HOME WIN · N=4 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.54 · +54.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=3 33.3% HIT · AVG 1.81 · -43.3% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=2 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.60 · -100.0% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.48 · +47.5% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
3
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
8
Bets
50%
Hit
-22.1%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
16
Bets
63%
Hit
-8.6%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
June 2026 // 7 PICKS · 6 HIT · 1 MISS
7 JUN Viggbyholms vs Lidingo BTTS -14% 2–2 HIT7 JUN Helges vs Kungsangen BTTS -26% 1–4 HIT7 JUN Franke vs Bollstanas HO1.5 2–2 HIT6 JUN Ängby vs Taby BTTS -16% 1–0 MISS6 JUN Sunnersta vs Gute HO1.5 5–0 HIT6 JUN Skiljebo vs Enskede Over 2.5 -2% 3–1 HIT6 JUN Falu BS vs Korsnas IF Home -11% 2–1 HITMay 2026 // 8 PICKS · 2 HIT · 6 MISS
31 MAY Korsnas IF vs Viggbyholms Over 2.5 -24% 0–1 MISS31 MAY Lidingo vs Falu BS AO1.5 1–1 MISS30 MAY Gute vs Helges HO1.5 1–0 MISS30 MAY Taby vs Skiljebo BTTS -21% 1–0 MISS30 MAY Enskede vs Ängby BTTS -17% 2–2 HIT30 MAY Bollstanas vs Sunnersta AO1.5 1–1 MISS29 MAY Kungsangen vs Franke Over 2.5 -5% 1–1 MISS24 MAY Ängby vs Bollstanas Over 2.5 -12% 2–1 HIT