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Angby vs Korsnäs Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Sunday, August 30, 2026, 11:00

Angby

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDWD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Korsnäs

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDLD

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.71 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.78 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-13.0%0-21.1%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.0%1-17.5%1-22.8%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.2%2-19.2%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.0%3-17.5%3-22.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-011.0%4+-18.3%4+-23.1%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.4% — — —

Draw 15.9% — — —

Away win 14.7% — — —

Over 2.5 62.7% — — —

Over 3.5 39.3% — — —

BTTS 52.7% — — —

Home O1.5 65.8% — — —

Away O1.5 19.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -9.2%

Bet Hit 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.2%

#2 3–0 10.0%

#3 2–1 9.2%

#4 1–0 10.0%

#5 1–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Angby2.5

Korsnäs0.7

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.7% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ANGBY · PPG 2.00

KORSNÄS · PPG 0.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.71 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.78 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Angby (H) 69.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Korsnäs (A) 14.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Angby face Korsnäs in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Angby a 69% chance, the draw 16% and Korsnäs 15%, so Angby are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Angby and 0.7 for Korsnäs (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Angby are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.78 for Korsnäs. This match finished 2-2.

Angby vs Korsnäs Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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