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Sunnersta vs Angby Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand · Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 13:00

Sunnersta

PPG 2.62 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWLD

2 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Angby

PPG 2.12 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDWD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 59.6% vs bookmaker-implied 74.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-14.5%0-21.9%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.1%1-19.4%1-24.0%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.5%2-19.8%2-24.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.0%3-16.8%3-22.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-06.7%4+-15.7%4+-22.4%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.9% 68.0% 1.47 -17.8%

Draw 22.2% 22.5% 4.45 -0.7%

Away win 21.9% 20.8% 4.80 +3.1%

Over 2.5 57.6% 76.3% 1.31 -24.5%

Over 3.5 35.5% 54.1% 1.85 -34.3%

BTTS 53.0% 70.4% 1.42 -24.7%

Home O1.5 59.6% 74.1% 1.35 -19.5%

Away O1.5 22.8% 39.8% 2.51 -25.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -9.2%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-4

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.0%

H 56% / xG 2.1-0.9 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–0 11.5%

#3 2–1 9.8%

#4 1–0 11.1%

#5 3–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sunnersta2.1

Angby0.9

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.6% · O3.5 PROB 35.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SUNNERSTA · PPG 2.62

ANGBY · PPG 2.12

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.23 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sunnersta (H) 55.9%

ODDS 1.47 · IMPLIED 68.0% EV -17.8%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 4.45 · IMPLIED 22.5% EV -0.7%

Angby (A) 21.9%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +3.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sunnersta face Angby in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sunnersta a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Angby 22%, so Sunnersta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Sunnersta and 0.9 for Angby (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sunnersta are averaging 2.62 points per game versus 2.12 for Angby. This match finished 2-4.

Sunnersta vs Angby Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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