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Enskede vs Viggbyholms IK Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand · Matchday 19 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 11:00

Enskede

PPG 2.33 · HOME

LAST 5

WLDWW

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Viggbyholms IK

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWDL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 56.3% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-14.9%0-21.8%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-013.2%1-19.6%1-23.5%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-013.0%2-19.5%2-23.5%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.6%3-16.3%3-22.3%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-06.7%4+-14.9%4+-21.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.3% 69.4% 1.44 -18.9%

Draw 22.1% 23.1% 4.33 -2.6%

Away win 21.5% 19.0% 5.25 +7.7%

Over 2.5 53.5% 66.7% 1.50 -19.8%

Over 3.5 31.5% 47.6% 2.10 -33.9%

BTTS 52.2% 61.7% 1.62 -15.4%

Home O1.5 56.3% 71.4% 1.40 -21.2%

Away O1.5 18.2% 30.8% 3.25 -24.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -9.2%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob52.2%

H 56% / xG 2.0-0.7 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0✓ 13.0%

#2 1–1 9.6%

#3 1–0 13.2%

#4 2–1 9.5%

#5 0–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Enskede2.0

Viggbyholms IK0.7

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ENSKEDE · PPG 2.33

VIGGBYHOLMS IK · PPG 1.22

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.25 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Enskede (H) 56.3%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -18.9%

Draw 22.1%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -2.6%

Viggbyholms IK (A) 21.5%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV +7.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Enskede face Viggbyholms IK in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Enskede a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Viggbyholms IK 22%, so Enskede are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Enskede and 0.7 for Viggbyholms IK (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Enskede are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.22 for Viggbyholms IK. This match finished 2-0.

Enskede vs Viggbyholms IK Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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