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Lidingö vs Enskede Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand · Matchday 18 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 11:00

Lidingö

PPG 0.50 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLL

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Enskede

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLDWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 61.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-110.1%0-28.1%0-34.3%0-4+2.5%1 1-07.3%1-111.7%1-29.4%1-35.0%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.2%2-16.8%2-25.4%2-32.9%2-4+1.7%3 3-01.6%3-12.6%3-22.1%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.0%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.2% 25.9% 3.86 +20.4%

Draw 24.6% 27.9% 3.58 -7.2%

Away win 44.2% 57.5% 1.74 -23.1%

Over 2.5 53.9% 58.5% 1.71 -7.8%

Over 3.5 31.6% 37.0% 2.70 -14.7%

BTTS 54.7% 61.0% 1.64 -10.3%

Home O1.5 31.0% 34.1% 2.93 -9.2%

Away O1.5 48.5% 56.8% 1.76 -14.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -9.2%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob54.7%

A 44% / xG 1.2-1.6 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 2–1 6.8%

#4 0–1 10.1%

#5 0–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lidingö1.2

Enskede1.6

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LIDINGÖ · PPG 0.50

ENSKEDE · PPG 0.88

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.44 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Lidingö (H) 31.2%

ODDS 3.86 · IMPLIED 25.9% EV +20.4%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.58 · IMPLIED 27.9% EV -7.2%

Enskede (A) 44.2%

ODDS 1.74 · IMPLIED 57.5% EV -23.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lidingö face Enskede in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lidingö a 31% chance, the draw 25% and Enskede 44%, so Enskede are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Lidingö and 1.6 for Enskede (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lidingö are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 0.88 for Enskede. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +14.9%. This match finished 1-3.

Lidingö vs Enskede Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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