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Falu BS vs Bollstanäs Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:00

Falu BS

PPG 2.22 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWWW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Bollstanäs

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-15.0%0-23.5%0-31.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-06.9%1-19.6%1-26.7%1-33.1%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.7%2-19.3%2-26.5%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-04.3%3-16.0%3-24.2%3-32.0%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-14.6%4+-23.2%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.2% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 30.0% — — —

Over 2.5 64.2% — — —

Over 3.5 43.2% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 56.3% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -9.2%

Bet Hit 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 2–1✓ 9.3%

#3 1–2 6.7%

#4 2–0 6.7%

#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Falu BS1.9

Bollstanäs1.4

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FALU BS · PPG 2.22

BOLLSTANÄS · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.54 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Falu BS (H) 47.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bollstanäs (A) 30.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Falu BS face Bollstanäs in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Falu BS a 47% chance, the draw 23% and Bollstanäs 30%, so Falu BS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Falu BS and 1.4 for Bollstanäs (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Falu BS are averaging 2.22 points per game versus 1.67 for Bollstanäs. This match finished 2-1.

Falu BS vs Bollstanäs Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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