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Täby vs Franke Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand · Matchday 19 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 17:00

Täby

PPG 2.22 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Franke

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWLLL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 59.6% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-14.4%0-22.2%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.3%1-19.3%1-24.7%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.9%2-19.9%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.0%3-17.0%3-23.5%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-06.1%4+-16.1%4+-23.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.6% 59.5% 1.68 -4.9%

Draw 21.9% 25.3% 3.95 -8.1%

Away win 21.5% 25.6% 3.90 -9.7%

Over 2.5 62.0% 70.4% 1.42 -12.0%

Over 3.5 39.0% 48.8% 2.05 -20.1%

BTTS 56.5% 70.4% 1.42 -19.8%

Home O1.5 59.6% 67.6% 1.48 -11.8%

Away O1.5 31.0% 43.5% 2.30 -28.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -9.2%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob56.5%

H 57% / xG 2.1-1.0 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1✓ 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.9%

#4 1–0 9.3%

#5 1–2 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Täby2.1

Franke1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TÄBY · PPG 2.22

FRANKE · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.13 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Täby (H) 56.6%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV -4.9%

Draw 21.9%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -8.1%

Franke (A) 21.5%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -9.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Täby face Franke in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Täby a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Franke 22%, so Täby are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Täby and 1.0 for Franke (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Täby are averaging 2.22 points per game versus 0.67 for Franke. This match finished 2-1.

Täby vs Franke Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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