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Viggbyholms IK vs Kungsängen Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand · Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 11:00

Viggbyholms IK

PPG 0.50 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWDL

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kungsängen

PPG 0.62 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDDD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 72.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-18.5%0-25.5%0-32.4%0-4+1.0%1 1-09.5%1-112.2%1-27.8%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.8%2-18.7%2-25.6%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.2%3-14.1%3-22.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.0%4+-21.3%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.5% 40.0% 2.50 +13.8%

Draw 25.0% 27.0% 3.70 -4.5%

Away win 29.5% 42.6% 2.35 -18.4%

Over 2.5 53.9% 69.4% 1.44 -22.4%

Over 3.5 31.6% 47.6% 2.10 -33.6%

BTTS 54.7% 72.5% 1.38 -24.5%

Home O1.5 40.0% 54.6% 1.83 -26.8%

Away O1.5 37.3% 55.6% 1.80 -32.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -9.2%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.7%

H 46% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.2%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 1–0 9.5%

#4 2–0 6.8%

#5 0–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Viggbyholms IK1.4

Kungsängen1.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

VIGGBYHOLMS IK · PPG 0.50

KUNGSÄNGEN · PPG 0.62

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Viggbyholms IK (H) 45.5%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +13.8%

Draw 25.0%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -4.5%

Kungsängen (A) 29.5%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -18.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Viggbyholms IK face Kungsängen in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viggbyholms IK a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Kungsängen 30%, so Viggbyholms IK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Viggbyholms IK and 1.3 for Kungsängen (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viggbyholms IK are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 0.62 for Kungsängen. This match finished 1-1.

Viggbyholms IK vs Kungsängen Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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