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Franke vs Skiljebo Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand · Matchday 18 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 11:00

Franke

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

DWLLL

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Skiljebo

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.5% vs bookmaker-implied 68.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-16.5%0-26.0%0-33.8%0-4+2.7%1 1-05.2%1-19.7%1-29.0%1-35.6%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.9%2-17.2%2-26.8%2-34.2%2-4+3.0%3 3-01.9%3-13.6%3-23.4%3-32.1%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.9%4+-21.8%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.2% 38.5% 2.60 -16.3%

Draw 22.7% 29.0% 3.45 -13.0%

Away win 45.1% 46.3% 2.16 -2.6%

Over 2.5 63.5% 68.0% 1.47 -6.7%

Over 3.5 40.4% 46.1% 2.17 -12.3%

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 40.0% — — —

Away O1.5 55.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -9.2%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.1%

A 45% / xG 1.5-1.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 0–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Franke1.5

Skiljebo1.9

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.5% · O3.5 PROB 40.4%

Form & verdict PPG

FRANKE · PPG 2.00

SKILJEBO · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.37 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Franke (H) 32.2%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -16.3%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -13.0%

Skiljebo (A) 45.1%

ODDS 2.16 · IMPLIED 46.3% EV -2.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Franke face Skiljebo in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Franke a 32% chance, the draw 23% and Skiljebo 45%, so Skiljebo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Franke and 1.9 for Skiljebo (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Franke are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Skiljebo. This match finished 1-3.

Franke vs Skiljebo Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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