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Bollstanäs vs Täby Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand · Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 12:00

Bollstanäs

PPG 1.25 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWWL

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Täby

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.1% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-16.4%0-25.2%0-32.9%0-4+1.7%1 1-06.3%1-110.3%1-28.4%1-34.6%1-4+2.7%2 2-05.0%2-18.2%2-26.7%2-33.7%2-4+2.2%3 3-02.7%3-14.4%3-23.6%3-32.0%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.5%4+-22.1%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.5% 38.2% 2.62 +11.3%

Draw 22.5% 27.8% 3.60 -11.4%

Away win 35.0% 46.5% 2.15 -24.8%

Over 2.5 63.1% 63.7% 1.57 -0.9%

Over 3.5 39.4% 42.0% 2.38 -6.2%

BTTS 63.1% 65.4% 1.53 -3.5%

Home O1.5 47.4% 47.4% 2.11 +0.0%

Away O1.5 48.5% 58.8% 1.70 -17.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -9.2%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.1%

H 42% / xG 1.6-1.6 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 2–1✓ 8.2%

#3 1–2 8.4%

#4 2–0 5.0%

#5 2–2 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bollstanäs1.6

Täby1.6

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BOLLSTANÄS · PPG 1.25

TÄBY · PPG 1.25

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.03 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bollstanäs (H) 42.5%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV +11.3%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -11.4%

Täby (A) 35.0%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -24.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bollstanäs face Täby in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bollstanäs a 43% chance, the draw 23% and Täby 35%, so Bollstanäs are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Bollstanäs and 1.6 for Täby (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bollstanäs are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.25 for Täby. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +7.5%. This match finished 2-1.

Bollstanäs vs Täby Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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