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Kungsängen vs Helges Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Sunday, August 30, 2026, 11:00

Kungsängen

PPG 0.67 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDDD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Helges

PPG 0.62 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLLD

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.75 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-16.6%0-23.2%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.7%1-111.3%1-25.5%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.0%2-19.7%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.7%3-15.6%3-22.7%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-13.5%4+-21.7%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.8% — — —

Draw 23.8% — — —

Away win 23.4% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 31.5% — — —

BTTS 54.3% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 27.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -9.2%

Bet Hit 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.3%

#2 2–0 10.0%

#3 1–0 11.7%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kungsängen1.7

Helges1.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KUNGSÄNGEN · PPG 0.67

HELGES · PPG 0.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.75 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Kungsängen (H) 52.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Helges (A) 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kungsängen face Helges in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kungsängen a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Helges 23%, so Kungsängen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Kungsängen and 1.0 for Helges (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kungsängen are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.62 for Helges. This match finished 1-1.

Kungsängen vs Helges Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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