Intercity PPG 1.50
Colonia M. PPG 0.75Intercity face Colonia M. in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Intercity a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Colonia M. 24%, so Intercity are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Intercity and 1.1 for Colonia M. (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Intercity are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.75 for Colonia M.. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +23.9%. This match finished 2-0.
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.75)