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Intercity vs Colonia M. Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 Group 5 - 34 Camp Municipal Antonio Solana· Alicante Sunday, May 3, 2026 10:00
Intercity logo Intercity PPG 1.50
2-0 HIT CS4
Colonia M. logo Colonia M. PPG 0.75
Away· +23.9% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Intercity face Colonia M. in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Intercity a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Colonia M. 24%, so Intercity are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Intercity and 1.1 for Colonia M. (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Intercity are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.75 for Colonia M.. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +23.9%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.3%
Odds: 1.53 EV: -27.6%
Draw 28.4%
Odds: 3.65 EV: +3.7%
Away 24.3%
Odds: 5.10 EV: +23.9%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.7% Odds: 1.73 -12.3%
Over 3.5 28.7% Odds: 2.92 -16.2%
BTTS 55.1% Odds: 1.83 +0.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Intercity
1.60
Colonia M.
1.10

Model Suggestion

BTTS +0.8% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Away(+23.9%)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.75)

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