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Getafe B vs Intercity Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 Group 5 - 33 Ciudad Deportiva Fernando Santos de la Parra· Getafe Sunday, April 26, 2026 10:00
Getafe B logo Getafe B PPG 2.38
0-1 MISS
Intercity logo Intercity PPG 0.81
Over2.5· +14.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Getafe B face Intercity in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Getafe B a 63% chance, the draw 22% and Intercity 15%, so Getafe B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Getafe B and 0.8 for Intercity (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Getafe B are averaging 2.38 points per game versus 0.81 for Intercity. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +14.9%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 63.3%
Odds: 1.75 EV: +10.8%
Draw 21.6%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -26.6%
Away 15.2%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -40.7%
Model lean: Home
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.5% Odds: 1.90 +14.9%
Over 3.5 44.6% Odds: —
BTTS 52.6% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 2-1
4th 3-1
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Getafe B
2.65
Intercity
0.78

Model Suggestion

Home +10.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over2.5(+14.9%)

League Track Record

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%
O2.5/Under 45%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 55%
ROI -32.6%
Bet Hit 43% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.38) vs P(Home)=63.3%

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