Orihuela vs Getafe B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 Group 5 - 34 Estadio Municipal Los Arcos· Orihuela Sunday, May 3, 2026 10:00

Orihuela PPG 1.19

2-1 HIT CS5

Getafe B PPG 1.19

Away· +12.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Orihuela face Getafe B in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Orihuela a 32% chance, the draw 30% and Getafe B 38%, so Getafe B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Orihuela and 1.4 for Getafe B (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Orihuela are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 1.19 for Getafe B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +12.4%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.8%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -30.0%

Draw 30.1%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -6.7%

Away 38.1%

Odds: 2.95 EV: +12.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.9% Odds: 2.00 -4.2%

Over 3.5 26.2% Odds: 3.42 -10.4%

BTTS 54.5% Odds: 1.80 -1.9%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Orihuela

1.23

Getafe B

1.36

Model SuggestionBTTS -1.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -1.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+12.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.19), Away AVERAGE (1.19)