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Fuenlabrada vs R. Majadahonda Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Group 5 - 33 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 10:00

Fuenlabrada

PPG 1.25 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

R. Majadahonda

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.9%0-116.6%0-210.7%0-34.6%0-4+2.0%1 1-09.8%1-112.6%1-28.1%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-03.7%2-14.8%2-23.1%2-31.3%2-4+0.6%3 3-00.9%3-11.2%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.9% — — —

Draw 31.7% — — —

Away win 40.3% — — —

Over 2.5 44.4% — — —

Over 3.5 15.2% — — —

BTTS 49.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -7.1%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob49.5%

A 40% / xG 0.8-1.3 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 12.9%

#2 0–1 16.6%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 0–2 10.7%

#5 1–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fuenlabrada0.8

R. Majadahonda1.3

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.4% · O3.5 PROB 15.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FUENLABRADA · PPG 1.25

R. MAJADAHONDA · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Fuenlabrada (H) 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

R. Majadahonda (A) 40.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fuenlabrada face R. Majadahonda in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fuenlabrada a 28% chance, the draw 32% and R. Majadahonda 40%, so R. Majadahonda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Fuenlabrada and 1.3 for R. Majadahonda (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fuenlabrada are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 2.25 for R. Majadahonda. This match finished 0-0.

Fuenlabrada vs R. Majadahonda Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Match Preview & Prediction

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