Las Palmas B vs Orihuela Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 Group 5 - 33 Anexo Gran Canaria· Las Palmas de Gran Canaria Sunday, April 26, 2026 10:00

Las Palmas B PPG 1.50

2-1 HIT CS2

Orihuela PPG 1.50

Draw· -0.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Las Palmas B face Orihuela in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Las Palmas B a 43% chance, the draw 30% and Orihuela 28%, so Las Palmas B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Las Palmas B and 1.1 for Orihuela (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Las Palmas B are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.50 for Orihuela. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.5%

Odds: 1.91 EV: -18.8%

Draw 29.8%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -0.2%

Away 27.7%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -5.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.5% Odds: 1.75 -11.6%

Over 3.5 27.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 57.8% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✔

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Las Palmas B

1.51

Orihuela

1.13

Model SuggestionBTTS  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.50)