Conquense vs Tenerife B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 Group 5 - 33 Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta· Cuenca Sunday, April 26, 2026 10:00

Conquense PPG 2.13

1-0 HIT CS4

Tenerife B PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Conquense face Tenerife B in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Conquense a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Tenerife B 25%, so Conquense are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Conquense and 1.0 for Tenerife B (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Conquense are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 1.75 for Tenerife B. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.0%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 28.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 24.8%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 35.7% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✔

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Conquense

1.97

Tenerife B

1.05

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5/Under 45%

BTTS/No 50%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -32.6%

Bet Hit 43% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.13) > Away GOOD (1.75)