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Socuellamos vs Las Palmas B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 Group 5 - 34 Estadio Paquito Jiménez· Socuéllamos Sunday, May 3, 2026 10:00
Socuellamos logo Socuellamos PPG 1.06
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Las Palmas B logo Las Palmas B PPG 0.88
Home· +5.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Socuellamos face Las Palmas B in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Socuellamos a 34% chance, the draw 30% and Las Palmas B 36%, so Las Palmas B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Socuellamos and 1.3 for Las Palmas B (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Socuellamos are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 0.88 for Las Palmas B. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.1%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.9%
Odds: 3.10 EV: +5.1%
Draw 30.0%
Odds: 3.35 EV: +0.5%
Away 36.1%
Odds: 2.00 EV: -27.8%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.7% Odds: 1.73 -15.8%
Over 3.5 26.8% Odds: 2.88 -22.8%
BTTS 55.2% Odds: 1.62 -10.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-2
4th 2-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Socuellamos
1.29
Las Palmas B
1.33

Model Suggestion

BTTS -10.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+5.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away POOR (0.88)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org