Leagues / SPAIN / Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Primera División RFEF - Group 2
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 59 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
49.2%
1X2
29/59
45.8%
O/U 2.5
27/59
55.9%
BTTS
33/59
40.7%
Exact score
24/59
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
23
Settled
69.6%
Hit rate
16/23
1.80
Avg odds
+25.4%
ROI
+5.8u
Picks by market
HOME WIN · N=13 61.5% HIT · AVG 1.77 · +7.2% ROI
BTTS · N=9 77.8% HIT · AVG 1.83 · +42.7% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 2.05 · +105.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
4
Bets
75%
Hit
+39.8%
ROI
✓ Solid
4
Bets
75%
Hit
+4.3%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
4
Bets
75%
Hit
+54.5%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
11
Bets
64%
Hit
+17.2%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 3 PICKS · 3 HIT · 0 MISS
24 MAY Real Murcia vs Eldense — NO PICK 3–0 —23 MAY Tarazona vs Sabadell — NO PICK 0–2 —23 MAY Sevilla FC B vs Alcorcon — NO PICK 1–1 —23 MAY Sanluqueno vs Villarreal B — NO PICK 1–1 —23 MAY Hercules vs Gimnastic T. — NO PICK 1–1 —23 MAY Europa vs UD Ibiza — NO PICK 3–2 —23 MAY Cartagena vs Real Betis B — NO PICK 2–2 —23 MAY Atletico M. B vs Algeciras BTTS -16% 3–1 HIT23 MAY Antequera vs Torremolinos BTTS -6% 3–1 HIT16 MAY Alcorcon vs Marbella — NO PICK 6–2 —16 MAY Algeciras vs Hercules — NO PICK 0–2 —16 MAY Villarreal B vs Sevilla FC B Home -35% 2–0 HIT16 MAY UD Ibiza vs Cartagena — NO PICK 3–1 —16 MAY Torremolinos vs Real Murcia — NO PICK 1–3 —16 MAY Teruel vs Sanluqueno — NO PICK 0–0 —