Antequera vs Torremolinos Prediction & Tips

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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 38 Estadio El Maulí· Antequera Saturday, May 23, 2026 16:30

Antequera PPG 1.39

3-1 MISS

Torremolinos PPG 1.00

Home· +33.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.3%

Odds: 2.95 EV: +33.6%

Draw 28.7%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -4.9%

Away 26.1%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -24.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.10 -3.0%

Over 3.5 19.0% Odds: 3.90 -15.5%

BTTS 51.5% Odds: 1.83 -5.8%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Antequera

1.25

Torremolinos

0.99

Model SuggestionBTTS -5.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+33.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5/Under 46%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 65.2%

Bet Hit 69% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.39) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)