Atletico M. B vs Algeciras Prediction & Tips

Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 38 Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares· Alcalá de Henares Saturday, May 23, 2026 16:30

Atletico M. B PPG 2.06

3-1 MISS

Algeciras PPG 1.06

Home· +7.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66% confidence

Home 50.2%

Odds: 2.15 EV: +7.9%

Draw 26.2%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -9.7%

Away 23.6%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -16.1%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 46.9% Odds: 1.91 -10.4%

Over 3.5 21.0% Odds: 3.25 -19.1%

BTTS 50.5% Odds: 1.67 -15.7%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Atletico M. B

1.48

Algeciras

0.86

Model SuggestionBTTS -15.7% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5/Under 46%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 65.2%

Bet Hit 69% (13 bets)

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs P(Home)=50.2%