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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Group 2 - 37
Estadio Nuevo Mirador· Algeciras
Saturday, May 16, 2026
19:00
Algeciras
PPG 2.00
0-2
MISS
Hercules
PPG 0.61
Away· +28.9%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
44.0%
Odds: 1.48
EV: -34.9%
Draw
32.4%
Odds: 3.80
EV: +23.1%
Away
23.7%
Odds: 6.25
EV: +28.9%
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
35.0%
Odds: 1.90
-33.5%
Over 3.5
11.4%
Odds: 3.25
-37.8%
BTTS
46.8%
Odds: 1.95
-8.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
0-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Algeciras
1.12
Hercules
0.71
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=44.0%