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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 37 Estadio Nuevo Mirador· Algeciras Saturday, May 16, 2026 19:00
Algeciras logo Algeciras PPG 2.00
0-2 MISS
Hercules logo Hercules PPG 0.61
Away· +28.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.0%
Odds: 1.48 EV: -34.9%
Draw 32.4%
Odds: 3.80 EV: +23.1%
Away 23.7%
Odds: 6.25 EV: +28.9%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 1.90 -33.5%
Over 3.5 11.4% Odds: 3.25 -37.8%
BTTS 46.8% Odds: 1.95 -8.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Algeciras
1.12
Hercules
0.71

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=44.0%

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