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Cartagena vs Real Betis B Prediction— Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Group 2 - 38 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 16:30

Cartagena

PPG 2.06 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

Real Betis B

PPG 0.89 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.5%0-19.7%0-24.1%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.2%1-112.8%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.0%2-18.4%2-23.5%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.4%3-13.7%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.0% 58.8% 1.70 -18.4%

Draw 27.6% 28.6% 3.50 -2.0%

Away win 24.4% 23.1% 4.33 +3.4%

Over 2.5 46.2% 55.6% 1.80 -16.8%

Over 3.5 17.3% 33.3% 3.00 -28.9%

BTTS 49.0% 57.8% 1.73 -15.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 25.4%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.0%

H 48% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 11.5%

#3 1–0 15.2%

#4 2–0 10.0%

#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cartagena1.3

Real Betis B0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.3%

Form & verdict PPG

CARTAGENA · PPG 2.06

REAL BETIS B · PPG 0.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs P(Home)=48.0%

Win probability 1X2

Cartagena (H) 48.0%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -18.4%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -2.0%

Real Betis B (A) 24.4%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +3.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cartagena face Real Betis B in Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cartagena a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Real Betis B 24%, so Cartagena are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Cartagena and 0.8 for Real Betis B (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cartagena are averaging 2.06 points per game versus 0.89 for Real Betis B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.4%. This match finished 2-2.

Cartagena vs Real Betis B Prediction— Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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