Villarreal B vs Sevilla FC B Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 37 Estadio de la Ceramica· Villarreal Saturday, May 16, 2026 19:00

Villarreal B PPG 1.78

2-0 HIT CS3

Sevilla FC B PPG 0.50

Away· +110.1% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.2%

Odds: 1.22 EV: -35.1%

Draw 27.9%

Odds: 4.75 EV: +19.5%

Away 18.9%

Odds: 15.00 EV: +110.1%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 1.75 -38.8%

Over 3.5 10.9% Odds: 2.85 -41.4%

BTTS 46.2% Odds: 2.45 +13.2%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✔

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Villarreal B

1.34

Sevilla FC B

0.46

Model SuggestionHome -35.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -35.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+110.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.78) vs P(Home)=53.2%