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Valencia vs Real Betis Prediction— Spain - La Liga

Matchday 1 ·Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 19:00

Valencia

PPG 1.46 · HOME

LAST 5

DLL ··

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Real Betis

PPG 1.34 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWL ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.1%0-110.6%0-25.1%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.8%1-113.2%1-26.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.6%2-18.2%2-23.9%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.5%3-13.4%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.4%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.2% 37.3% 2.68 +5.1%

Draw 33.7% 29.9% 3.35 +12.9%

Away win 27.1% 40.0% 2.50 -19.4%

Over 2.5 43.1% 51.3% 1.95 -16.0%

Over 3.5 20.7% 29.4% 3.40 -17.8%

BTTS 47.2% 57.8% 1.73 -18.3%

Home O1.5 34.7% 40.8% 2.45 -15.0%

Away O1.5 25.7% 42.0% 2.38 -23.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 92 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -2.3%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.2%

H 39% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 11.1%

#3 1–0 13.8%

#4 0–1✓ 10.6%

#5 2–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Valencia1.2

Real Betis1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VALENCIA · PPG 1.46

REAL BETIS · PPG 1.34

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

80%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.29, combined xG 2.20 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Valencia (H) 39.2%

ODDS 2.68 · IMPLIED 37.3% EV +5.1%

Draw 33.7%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +12.9%

Real Betis (A) 27.1%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -19.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Valencia face Real Betis in Spain - La Liga on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Valencia a 39% chance, the draw 34% and Real Betis 27%, so Valencia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Valencia and 1.0 for Real Betis (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Valencia are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 1.34 for Real Betis. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +1.0%. This match finished 0-1.

Valencia vs Real Betis Prediction— Spain - La Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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