Today / Spain - La Liga / Levante vs Real Betis

Levante vs Real Betis Prediction— Spain - La Liga

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 15:00

Levante

PPG 1.42 · HOME

LAST 5

LDW ··

5 – 2

FULL TIME

Real Betis

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWL ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-19.7%0-25.5%0-32.1%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.3%1-112.9%1-27.3%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.5%2-18.5%2-24.8%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.3%3-13.7%3-22.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.7%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% 31.7% 3.15 +14.7%

Draw 27.7% 29.9% 3.35 -4.3%

Away win 35.9% 45.5% 2.20 -21.0%

Over 2.5 44.8% 51.8% 1.93 -13.5%

Over 3.5 28.7% 29.9% 3.35 -2.3%

BTTS 49.2% 57.8% 1.73 -14.9%

Home O1.5 37.2% 36.4% 2.75 +2.3%

Away O1.5 33.0% 46.5% 2.15 -29.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 92 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -2.3%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 16%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.2%

H 36% / xG 1.3-1.1 / O2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 8.5%

#3 0–1 9.7%

#4 1–0 11.3%

#5 1–2 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Levante1.3

Real Betis1.1

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LEVANTE · PPG 1.42

REAL BETIS · PPG 1.62

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.18, combined xG 2.46 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Levante (H) 36.4%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV +14.7%

Draw 27.7%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -4.3%

Real Betis (A) 35.9%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -21.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Levante face Real Betis in Spain - La Liga on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Levante a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Real Betis 36%, so Levante are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Levante and 1.1 for Real Betis (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Levante are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.62 for Real Betis. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +12.6%. This match finished 5-2.

Levante vs Real Betis Prediction— Spain - La Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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