League Two

SCOTLAND · 15 MATCHES TRACKED · 18 APR 2026 – 2 MAY 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 15 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

46.7%

1X2

7/15

53.3%

O/U 2.5

8/15

33.3%

BTTS

5/15

40.0%

Exact score

6/15

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

33.3%

Hit rate

1/3

1.73

Avg odds

-40.0%

ROI

-1.2u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

OVER 2.5 · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.75 · -100.0% ROI

HOME WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.80 · +80.0% ROI

BTTS · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.65 · -100.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

100%

Hit

+80.0%

ROI

Match log

15 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

May 2026 // 5 PICKS · 2 HIT · 3 MISS

2 MAY Stirling Albion vs Spartans BTTS -1% 2–2 HIT 2 MAY Elgin City vs Stranraer BTTS -6% 0–1 MISS 2 MAY Annan Athletic vs Forfar Athletic BTTS -4% 1–1 HIT 2 MAY Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton BTTS +5% 5–0 MISS 2 MAY East Kilbride vs Clyde BTTS -7% 5–0 MISS

April 2026 // 10 PICKS · 6 HIT · 4 MISS

25 APR Forfar Athletic vs Edinburgh City Home -28% 4–0 HIT 25 APR Clyde vs Annan Athletic Home +13% 3–1 HIT 25 APR Dumbarton vs East Kilbride Over 2.5 -1% 0–1 MISS 25 APR Spartans vs Elgin City Home -7% 1–1 MISS 25 APR Stranraer vs Stirling Albion BTTS -4% 1–1 HIT 18 APR Annan Athletic vs Spartans Over 2.5 +3% 0–2 MISS 18 APR Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic BTTS -12% 0–1 MISS 18 APR Stirling Albion vs Elgin City BTTS -9% 2–2 HIT 18 APR East Kilbride vs Edinburgh City Over 2.5 -7% 4–0 HIT 18 APR Clyde vs Dumbarton Home -2% 2–0 HIT