Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic Prediction— Scotland - League Two

Scotland - League Two Regular Season - 34 Stair Park· Stranraer Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Stranraer PPG 1.31

0-1 HIT CS3

Forfar Athletic PPG 0.88

Away· -3.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Stranraer face Forfar Athletic in Scotland - League Two on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stranraer a 41% chance, the draw 27% and Forfar Athletic 32%, so Stranraer are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Stranraer and 1.2 for Forfar Athletic (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stranraer are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 0.88 for Forfar Athletic. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.1%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -7.5%

Draw 26.6%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -20.2%

Away 32.3%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -3.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.8% Odds: 2.00 -6.4%

Over 3.5 25.2% Odds: 3.45 -13.1%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.70 -12.3%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✔

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Stranraer

1.36

Forfar Athletic

1.18

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 53%

BTTS/No 33%

Score Hit 40%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

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Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.31) > Away POOR (0.88)