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Clyde vs Dumbarton Prediction— Scotland - League Two

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:00

Clyde

PPG 1.69 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Dumbarton

PPG 0.94 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 59.5% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-15.3%0-22.6%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.4%1-110.3%1-25.1%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.1%2-19.9%2-24.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.5%3-16.4%3-23.2%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.9%4+-14.8%4+-22.4%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.5% 60.6% 1.65 -1.8%

Draw 21.8% 26.0% 3.85 -16.1%

Away win 18.8% 23.8% 4.20 -21.0%

Over 2.5 55.9% 65.4% 1.53 -14.5%

Over 3.5 33.5% 43.5% 2.30 -22.9%

BTTS 53.6% 62.5% 1.60 -14.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -16.7%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob53.6%

H 60% / xG 1.9-1.0 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 10.4%

#2 1–1 10.3%

#3 2–0✓ 10.1%

#4 2–1 9.9%

#5 3–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Clyde1.9

Dumbarton1.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.9% · O3.5 PROB 33.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CLYDE · PPG 1.69

DUMBARTON · PPG 0.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away POOR (0.94)

Win probability 1X2

Clyde (H) 59.5%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV -1.8%

Draw 21.8%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -16.1%

Dumbarton (A) 18.8%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -21.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Clyde face Dumbarton in Scotland - League Two on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Clyde a 60% chance, the draw 22% and Dumbarton 19%, so Clyde are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Clyde and 1.0 for Dumbarton (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Clyde are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 0.94 for Dumbarton. This match finished 2-0.

Clyde vs Dumbarton Prediction— Scotland - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

More Scotland - League Two Predictions