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Clyde vs Annan Athletic Prediction— Scotland - League Two

Regular Season - 35 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Clyde logo
Clyde
PPG 1.76 · HOME
3 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
Annan Athletic logo
Annan Athletic
PPG 0.76 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 62.6% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6% — a clear edge.

+12.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗
ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-15.5%0-22.2%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-012.7%1-110.3%1-24.2%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-012.0%2-19.7%2-24.0%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.5%3-16.1%3-22.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-14.4%4+-21.8%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 62.6% 55.6% 1.80 +12.7%
Draw 21.8% 27.8% 3.60 -21.5%
Away win 15.6% 26.7% 3.75 -41.5%
Over 2.5 50.4% 58.8% 1.70 -14.3%
Over 3.5 28.4% 36.4% 2.75 -21.9%
BTTS 47.1% 61.7% 1.62 -23.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5 53%
BTTS 33%
Score Hit 40%
ROI -16.7%
Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-1
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.1%

H 63% / xG 1.9-0.8 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 12.7%
#2 2–0 12.0%
#3 1–1 10.3%
#4 2–1 9.7%
#5 3–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Clyde1.9
Annan Athletic0.8

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CLYDE · PPG 1.76

ANNAN ATHLETIC · PPG 0.76

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.76) vs P(Home)=62.6%

Win probability 1X2

Clyde (H) 62.6%
ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV +12.7%
Draw 21.8%
ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -21.5%
Annan Athletic (A) 15.6%
ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -41.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Clyde face Annan Athletic in Scotland - League Two on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Clyde a 63% chance, the draw 22% and Annan Athletic 16%, so Clyde are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Clyde and 0.8 for Annan Athletic (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Clyde are averaging 1.76 points per game versus 0.76 for Annan Athletic. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +12.7%. This match finished 3-1.

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