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Forfar Athletic vs Edinburgh City Prediction— Scotland - League Two

Regular Season - 35 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Forfar Athletic

PPG 1.71 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Edinburgh City

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 59.8% vs bookmaker-implied 83.3%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-15.1%0-22.6%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.1%1-110.1%1-25.1%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.9%2-110.0%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.5%3-16.5%3-23.3%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-15.1%4+-22.5%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.8% 83.3% 1.20 -28.2%

Draw 21.5% 19.6% 5.10 +9.7%

Away win 18.7% 6.7% 15.00 +180.5%

Over 2.5 57.1% 59.9% 1.67 -4.6%

Over 3.5 34.7% 37.0% 2.70 -6.3%

BTTS 54.5% 42.0% 2.38 +29.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -16.7%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.5%

H 60% / xG 2.0-1.0 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 1–0 10.1%

#3 2–1 10.0%

#4 2–0 9.9%

#5 3–1 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Forfar Athletic2.0

Edinburgh City1.0

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.1% · O3.5 PROB 34.7%

Form & verdict PPG

FORFAR ATHLETIC · PPG 1.71

EDINBURGH CITY · PPG 1.47

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.71), Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

Forfar Athletic (H) 59.8%

ODDS 1.20 · IMPLIED 83.3% EV -28.2%

Draw 21.5%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV +9.7%

Edinburgh City (A) 18.7%

ODDS 15.00 · IMPLIED 6.7% EV +180.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Forfar Athletic face Edinburgh City in Scotland - League Two on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Forfar Athletic a 60% chance, the draw 22% and Edinburgh City 19%, so Forfar Athletic are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Forfar Athletic and 1.0 for Edinburgh City (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Forfar Athletic are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.47 for Edinburgh City. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +180.5%. This match finished 4-0.

Forfar Athletic vs Edinburgh City Prediction— Scotland - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

More Scotland - League Two Predictions