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Forfar Athletic vs Edinburgh City Prediction— Scotland - League Two

Scotland - League Two logo Scotland flag Scotland - League Two Regular Season - 35 Station Park· Forfar Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00
Forfar Athletic logo Forfar Athletic PPG 1.71
4-0 MISS
Edinburgh City logo Edinburgh City PPG 1.47
Away· +180.5% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Forfar Athletic face Edinburgh City in Scotland - League Two on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Forfar Athletic a 60% chance, the draw 22% and Edinburgh City 19%, so Forfar Athletic are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Forfar Athletic and 1.0 for Edinburgh City (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Forfar Athletic are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.47 for Edinburgh City. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +180.5%. This match finished 4-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.8%
Odds: 1.20 EV: -28.2%
Draw 21.5%
Odds: 5.10 EV: +9.7%
Away 18.7%
Odds: 15.00 EV: +180.5%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.1% Odds: 1.67 -4.6%
Over 3.5 34.7% Odds: 2.70 -6.3%
BTTS 54.5% Odds: 2.38 +29.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-1
4th 2-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Forfar Athletic
1.97
Edinburgh City
1.00

Model Suggestion

Home -28.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-28.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.71), Away AVERAGE (1.47)

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