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Stirling Albion vs Spartans Prediction— Scotland - League Two

Regular Season - 36 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Stirling Albion

PPG 0.94 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Spartans

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 58.4% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-19.5%0-28.3%0-34.9%0-4+3.1%1 1-06.3%1-111.1%1-29.7%1-35.6%1-4+3.6%2 2-03.7%2-16.4%2-25.6%2-33.3%2-4+2.1%3 3-01.4%3-12.5%3-22.2%3-31.3%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.9%4+-20.8%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.7% 16.0% 6.25 +48.1%

Draw 26.9% 25.0% 4.00 +7.6%

Away win 49.4% 69.4% 1.44 -28.9%

Over 2.5 55.6% 61.7% 1.62 -9.9%

Over 3.5 33.2% 39.2% 2.55 -15.3%

BTTS 58.4% 58.8% 1.70 -0.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -16.7%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob58.4%

A 49% / xG 1.2-1.7 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 0–2 8.3%

#4 0–1 9.5%

#5 0–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stirling Albion1.2

Spartans1.7

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.6% · O3.5 PROB 33.2%

Form & verdict PPG

STIRLING ALBION · PPG 0.94

SPARTANS · PPG 1.88

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.88) vs Home POOR (0.94)

Win probability 1X2

Stirling Albion (H) 23.7%

ODDS 6.25 · IMPLIED 16.0% EV +48.1%

Draw 26.9%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +7.6%

Spartans (A) 49.4%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -28.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stirling Albion face Spartans in Scotland - League Two on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stirling Albion a 24% chance, the draw 27% and Spartans 49%, so Spartans are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Stirling Albion and 1.7 for Spartans (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stirling Albion are averaging 0.94 points per game versus 1.88 for Spartans. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +48.1%. This match finished 2-2.

Stirling Albion vs Spartans Prediction— Scotland - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

More Scotland - League Two Predictions