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East Kilbride vs Clyde Prediction— Scotland - League Two

Regular Season - 36 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

East Kilbride

PPG 1.94 · HOME

5 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Clyde

PPG 1.35 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.9% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-16.9%0-24.9%0-32.3%0-4+1.1%1 1-07.9%1-111.1%1-27.8%1-33.6%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.4%2-18.9%2-26.3%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-03.4%3-14.8%3-23.4%3-31.6%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.7%4+-21.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.7% 60.6% 1.65 -32.9%

Draw 27.5% 25.6% 3.90 +7.2%

Away win 31.8% 23.8% 4.20 +33.6%

Over 2.5 57.9% 66.7% 1.50 -13.2%

Over 3.5 35.5% 43.5% 2.30 -18.4%

BTTS 61.9% 66.7% 1.50 -7.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -16.7%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.9%

H 41% / xG 1.6-1.4 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.8%

#4 0–0 4.9%

#5 2–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

East Kilbride1.6

Clyde1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.9% · O3.5 PROB 35.5%

Form & verdict PPG

EAST KILBRIDE · PPG 1.94

CLYDE · PPG 1.35

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.94) > Away AVERAGE (1.35)

Win probability 1X2

East Kilbride (H) 40.7%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV -32.9%

Draw 27.5%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +7.2%

Clyde (A) 31.8%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +33.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

East Kilbride face Clyde in Scotland - League Two on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives East Kilbride a 41% chance, the draw 28% and Clyde 32%, so East Kilbride are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for East Kilbride and 1.4 for Clyde (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, East Kilbride are averaging 1.94 points per game versus 1.35 for Clyde. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +33.6%. This match finished 5-0.

East Kilbride vs Clyde Prediction— Scotland - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

More Scotland - League Two Predictions