East Kilbride vs Edinburgh City Prediction— Scotland - League Two

Scotland - League Two Regular Season - 34 K-Park Training Academy· East Kilbride Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

East Kilbride PPG 1.88

4-0 MISS

Edinburgh City PPG 1.56

Away· +111.2% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

East Kilbride face Edinburgh City in Scotland - League Two on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives East Kilbride a 71% chance, the draw 16% and Edinburgh City 13%, so East Kilbride are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for East Kilbride and 1.1 for Edinburgh City (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, East Kilbride are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.56 for Edinburgh City. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +111.2%. This match finished 4-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 71.2%

Odds: 1.10 EV: -21.7%

Draw 15.6%

Odds: 7.60 EV: +18.6%

Away 13.2%

Odds: 16.00 EV: +111.2%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 74.2% Odds: 1.25 -7.2%

Over 3.5 54.0% Odds: 1.70 -8.2%

BTTS 63.3% Odds: 1.95 +23.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 3-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 3-0 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

East Kilbride

2.74

Edinburgh City

1.13

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -7.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-7.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away GOOD (1.56)