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Annan Athletic vs Spartans Prediction— Scotland - League Two

Scotland - League Two logo Scotland flag Scotland - League Two Regular Season - 34 Galabank· Annan Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00
Annan Athletic logo Annan Athletic PPG 1.69
0-2 HIT CS4
Spartans logo Spartans PPG 1.81
Away· +22.6% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Annan Athletic face Spartans in Scotland - League Two on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Annan Athletic a 23% chance, the draw 22% and Spartans 55%, so Spartans are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Annan Athletic and 1.9 for Spartans (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Annan Athletic are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.81 for Spartans. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +22.6%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 23.2%
Odds: 2.85 EV: -33.9%
Draw 22.4%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -25.0%
Away 54.5%
Odds: 2.25 EV: +22.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.8% Odds: 1.75 +2.9%
Over 3.5 36.4% Odds: 2.80 +1.9%
BTTS 58.3% Odds: 1.57 -8.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-1
4th 0-2
5th 1-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Annan Athletic
1.16
Spartans
1.89

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +2.9% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Away(+22.6%)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.69), Away GOOD (1.81)

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