Today / Scotland - League Two / Annan Athletic vs Forfar Athletic

Annan Athletic vs Forfar Athletic Prediction— Scotland - League Two

Regular Season - 36 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Annan Athletic

PPG 1.59 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Forfar Athletic

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.3% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-17.9%0-25.6%0-32.7%0-4+1.3%1 1-08.1%1-111.6%1-28.3%1-33.9%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.9%2-18.5%2-26.1%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.9%3-14.2%3-23.0%3-31.4%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.1%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.7% 43.5% 2.30 -15.6%

Draw 28.2% 30.8% 3.25 -8.3%

Away win 35.0% 35.7% 2.80 -2.0%

Over 2.5 55.4% 55.6% 1.80 -0.3%

Over 3.5 33.0% 33.3% 3.00 -1.0%

BTTS 60.3% 62.5% 1.60 -3.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -16.7%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob60.3%

D 28% / xG 1.5-1.4 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.6%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 0–0 5.5%

#5 1–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Annan Athletic1.5

Forfar Athletic1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.4% · O3.5 PROB 33.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ANNAN ATHLETIC · PPG 1.59

FORFAR ATHLETIC · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.59) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Annan Athletic (H) 36.7%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -15.6%

Draw 28.2%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -8.3%

Forfar Athletic (A) 35.0%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -2.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Annan Athletic face Forfar Athletic in Scotland - League Two on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Annan Athletic a 37% chance, the draw 28% and Forfar Athletic 35%, so Annan Athletic are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Annan Athletic and 1.4 for Forfar Athletic (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Annan Athletic are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 1.00 for Forfar Athletic. This match finished 1-1.

Annan Athletic vs Forfar Athletic Prediction— Scotland - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

More Scotland - League Two Predictions